Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.514260 0.574259 0.641167 0.721836 0.817168 0.927130 1.064865
2025-01-19 0.425811 0.496761 0.580944 0.689636 0.828424 1.002800 1.243619
2025-01-26 0.382068 0.461467 0.560506 0.695894 0.880741 1.131604 1.511674
2025-02-02 0.349922 0.434863 0.545324 0.703894 0.933605 1.268241 1.822526
2025-02-09 0.319546 0.406246 0.522844 0.697126 0.962615 1.374183 2.114019
2025-02-16 0.297996 0.386701 0.509709 0.700612 1.005702 1.508483 2.491427
2025-02-23 0.272406 0.358863 0.481504 0.677304 1.001985 1.563566 2.739934
2025-03-02 0.248739 0.331649 0.451420 0.647096 0.981630 1.584418 2.925638
2025-03-09 0.237040 0.320722 0.444347 0.652198 1.021560 1.723354 3.416718
2025-03-16 0.231264 0.317929 0.449129 0.676856 1.099660 1.954215 4.230353
2025-03-23 0.223197 0.310935 0.446517 0.688321 1.154694 2.150912 5.062346
2025-03-30 0.214738 0.302655 0.440999 0.693799 1.198606 2.334196 5.968712
2025-04-06 0.204407 0.291098 0.429749 0.688749 1.222750 2.484183 6.900725
2025-04-13 0.190813 0.273499 0.407094 0.660142 1.192649 2.491271 7.322861
2025-04-20 0.184539 0.267323 0.403332 0.666974 1.241229 2.720616 8.859260
2025-04-27 0.178978 0.261926 0.400435 0.675076 1.294204 2.981396 10.861321
2025-05-04 0.171674 0.253184 0.390981 0.669005 1.312772 3.147660 12.616053
2025-05-11 0.166351 0.247452 0.386458 0.672485 1.355405 3.407046 15.385652
2025-05-18 0.157838 0.235848 0.370528 0.650552 1.330211 3.431627 16.601234
2025-05-25 0.148997 0.223296 0.352185 0.622017 1.284143 3.371401 17.111217
2025-06-01 0.145240 0.219339 0.349483 0.626882 1.327504 3.654007 21.236363
2025-06-08 0.144079 0.219802 0.355008 0.650243 1.425909 4.197427 30.086922
2025-06-15 0.141401 0.217434 0.354965 0.661103 1.491498 4.646056 40.482831